DRUG DEVELOPMENT DILIGENCE

Before you spend $500,000 on a drug asset, spend $495 finding out what could kill it.

Cheap-to-Truth finds the smallest credible experiment that can tell you whether a molecule deserves another dollar. Start free, buy a human-reviewed $495 screen if the asset survives, and move to full diligence only when the evidence earns it.

The $495 screen is credited in full toward a $4,950 Diligence Sprint if you upgrade within 14 days. Independent research and decision support only.

THE STORY

Drug development often optimizes the machinery before asking whether the machinery is necessary.

A conventional plan can accumulate sites, vendors, monitoring layers, visits, labs and contractual delay before anyone isolates the uncertainty that actually controls the decision. Our starting assumption is the opposite: every dollar and every day has to defend its existence.

Cheap does not win by itself. Fast does not win by itself. A path wins only if its answer is scientifically credible, operationally realistic and usable by the regulator that matters.

THE MACHINE

Discover → gate → score → architect → place → decide.

Not a black box. The output exposes assumptions, hard gates and the reasons a candidate moves.

01

Discover

Repurposed, shelved, stranded and underexploited assets. One molecule can be tested across multiple indications.

02

Gate

Human safety, rights, scientific plausibility and regulatory usability can kill an idea before economics begins.

03

Score

Population, unmet need, signal, endpoint, recruitment, IP, probability, readout speed and trial burden.

04

Architect

Design the smallest credible study that would change the decision. Remove ritual before negotiating price.

05

Place

Compare countries by regulator usability, startup, patient pool, quality, logistics, incentives and fully loaded cost.

06

Decide

Kill, investigate, source, license, partner or build. The memo states what would change our mind.

WHAT GETS SCORED

More than “big market” and “cheap trial.”

The weights change by asset. The gates do not.

Addressable patientsUnmet needTotal marketHuman safetyHuman efficacy signalBiologic plausibilityRights clarityLicensing frictionIP defensibilityApproval probabilityEndpoint objectivityTime to endpointRequired sample sizeRecruitment easeVisit burdenSpecialist burdenLab burdenRoute / dosingCold chainSafety monitoringStartup timeRegulatory acceptanceInspection readinessFully loaded cost

PUBLIC DEMO

Move the assumptions. Watch the opportunity move.

Illustrative only. Real diligence replaces synthetic inputs with sourced evidence.

CHEAP-TO-TRUTH SCORE

79/100

Hard gatePASS
Time score84
Cost score89
Evidence score75

Safety < 65, regulatory confidence < 75, or rights risk > 60 forces HOLD regardless of score.

COMMERCIAL FUNNEL

Spend more only when the evidence earns it.

01. Free Score

$0 self-reported screen

Get a preliminary score and the three assumptions most likely to kill or accelerate the opportunity.

Score an asset free

03. Diligence Sprint

$4,950 fixed fee

Full evidence triage, hard gates, scorecard, trial shape, geography comparison and red-team decision memo.

Buy full diligence
Then, only if the opportunity survives: success-based sourcing → licensing support → virtual-biotech execution.

THE DELIVERABLE

See what you are buying before you buy it.

Open the full synthetic sample memo →

OPPORTUNITY 07ILLUSTRATIVE

Repurposed oral asset / common chronic indication

DecisionINVESTIGATE
Why nowExisting human safety + short objective endpoint
Truth cost$2.1M–$3.0M modeled
Readout~10–13 months modeled

What would kill it?

Weak source evidence behind the efficacy signal, unclear rights, a regulator-usability gap, or trial economics that stop surviving once real site and recruitment quotes replace assumptions.

What next?

Verify the human dataset, identify the rights holder, obtain jurisdiction-specific site budgets, and price the smallest regulator-credible protocol before discussing a broader program.

REFERRAL LOOP

Know another stranded or underexamined asset?

Refer a $4,950 Sprint buyer and choose $500 cash or $750 Machine Over Human service credit after the engagement is accepted.

Create a referral link

A MACHINE OVER HUMAN OFFER

Research becomes a product when the reasoning is visible.

Cheap-to-Truth uses the same MOH principle applied elsewhere: structure the problem, expose assumptions, make the machine do repetitive comparison, and leave consequential decisions with accountable people.

FAQ

The boundaries matter.

What exactly am I buying for $4,950?

A bounded research and diligence sprint on one defined asset/indication question. The output is a sourced decision memo and scorecard, not a guarantee of development success.

Will you find assets for me?

The initial sprint can assess a defined opportunity. Broader asset sourcing can follow under a separate written engagement, including success-based structures where appropriate and lawful.

Can you run the company around an asset?

Potentially, after diligence. The virtual-biotech model means assembling only the people and infrastructure required for the next evidence milestone. It is not part of the initial sprint.

How do you stop cheap from becoming reckless?

Safety, scientific validity, rights, data integrity, regulatory usability and accountable human review are gates, not optimization targets.

What if my question is out of scope after I pay?

We reconcile payment and confirm scope before research begins. If we cannot accept the defined diligence question as purchased, we will offer a revised scope or refund the diligence sprint rather than silently begin different work.

Do I need an account?

No. This is a concierge professional service, not SaaS. Your Stripe receipt plus your paid-intake reference identify the engagement. If repeat or multi-project work later makes a portal useful, we can add one without forcing account friction on a one-off sprint.

How do I send private or large files?

Submit the intake first. During scope confirmation we provide an appropriate transfer path for private or large source packages. Do not paste confidential patient information into the public intake form.

When will I receive the memo?

We target scope confirmation within 1 business day and the decision memo within 5 business days after complete inputs are received. Complex data rooms or unusually broad questions are re-scoped before work begins.

ONE GOOD QUESTION FIRST

Before funding the next trial, ask what the cheapest credible truth would cost.

Buy the diligence sprintDiscuss first